|
|
Underdog or favorite? It's a choice we make everyday throughout the Soccer season. While there are certainly times when favorites warrant our attention, my experience tells me that betting underdogs is the best way to make money in soccer betting. Here are 5 reasons why you should pay special attention to the dogs every season.
1. Not every win is created equal
Favorites Odds tends to be on the low side ranging from 1.70-1.85. It doesn't serve much value especially if you are betting big considering you risk $1000 on a singles even if you did win, you only managed a $700 to $825 profit. With a 3 bets/per day system which I'm adopting a typical scenario of 1 win 1 draw and 1 loss situation would result in a viguorish loss of $150-$300. However if you are betting on underdogs the odds tends to range from $1.975-$2.15 with the scenario of 1 win 1 draw and 1 loss situation would result in minimal viguorish loss or more often a profit due to the value odds.
2. Underdogs don't get any respect!
They don't get it from the public, sometimes leading to higher than deserved spreads. More importantly, they don't get it from their opposition. Good teams can sometimes take bad teams lightly (especially if players and coaches minds are on other things, like next week's tougher opponent). Research and an understanding of historical trends can reveal great situations in which underdogs are poised for an upset.
3. The Public Can't Help Itself
The average bettor loves the popular teams (favorites), often times pushing lines unreasonably high. In fact, almost every week, with the right research, you can spot teams that should be favorites but are getting points against a popular team that has been installed as a favorite due to the public "bandwagon effect"?
4. Got Courage?
Most bettors don't have the courage to go with certain underdogs. They see a (perceived) good team versus a (perceived) bad team and assume it won't be a contest. They have formed an opinion about how horrible some teams are based on a recent blowout or past personal gambling loss. Again, with the right combination of statistical and situational research, some undervalued dogs can be spotted each week. There are also certain situations in which bad teams have historically and reliably outperformed their average. Match that with a historically-proven situation in which favorites under-perform and you have yourself a reliable upset scenario.
5.What It All Means
Obviously just playing all underdogs is not the answer (that would yield you approximately 50% wins and a negative account balance). However, with the right research, you can spot some very high-value underdog winners each week.
Many soccer punters put a lot of effort to study on players, team strategies and odds movement but lose their bets at the end. In fact, soccer betting is simple. You should only pay attention on recent team statistics and bravely put your bet accordingly regardless bet against strong team.--------------By Joseph Linhard
好多波友放左好多精力落球员,球队同埋赔率变动上面,但系最尾都输钱.事实上,赌波好简单.你只要将注意力摆系球队近况的统计上边,而且勇敢地投注强队.
Why is soccer betting popular?
If we were to compare other sports with soccer, soccer has the highest occurrences for weak team to beat a strong team down especially in English Premier League. Let's turn back the clock; can any of you recall the UEFA Championship final?? Clashed between Man.Utd and Bayern Munich in 1999 where Man.Utd successfully won Bayern Munich by 2 goals during 2 minutes injury time. For those who bet on Bayern Munich, how hard for punters to accept this, unfortunately this is the FACT. Well, as you can see, this is the most interesting part in soccer betting. There is a saying, “a football is round, therefore it might have unpredictable ending”.
点解赌波如此流行?
如果我地将足球同其他体育项目比较,会发现足球系最高频率出现弱队打败强队的情况,尤其系英超.我地体翻转头,仲记吾记得99年曼联对拜仁果场欧冠杯决赛?曼联系最后两分钟入拜仁两波获胜,买左拜仁的赌徒的确好难接受,不幸的是,这是事实.正如你话斋,呢样就系赌波最吸引人的地方.古语都有话:"足球系圆的,所以边个都估吾到会LOOK入边个网"
What is the simple theory in betting world?
Everything in the world is sharing the same natural concept and also follows the same trend. There is no exception for soccer betting. The theory is simple. When a graph makes an incline, of course the line will keep climbing and stop at a stage. No matter how high it reaches or how low it drops, there is always a stop to it. I would confidently say that only in minor cases, the graph will move up and down continuously within a short period of time. As example, you could notice that most market share will always have gradual incline and then follow by long dropping line repeatedly. You could also notice that the rich gets richer and poor gets poorer. In sports betting, I believe some of you did experience before winning streaks which you kept winning non-stop even though you simply put your bet. In contrast when encounter down period, even if you work hard to make analysis or follow the bet of your lucky friends but finally lose too. Why? The only answer is natural concept and trend. We must agree and follow the trend.
世界上最简单的赌波方法系咩也?
世上万物都共有相同的自然规律同埋跟随相同的趋势.赌波都无例外.原理好简单,当实力线出现倾斜,锦距会继续上升直到停响一个地方.吾理距升到几高或者降到几低,都有停的时候.我可以好自信感讲,只有少数情况会出现上上落落.you could notice that most market share will always have gradual incline and then follow by long dropping line repeatedly.(呢句吾识),你亦都可以留意到呢个世界上富人会越富而穷人会越穷.系菠菜过程中,我相信你都试过咩也叫做赢开有条路,输开有条路.点解?答案就系自然规律同趋势系度起作用.我们要认同同埋跟随趋势.
How betting trend works in soccer betting?
The rule of thumb is do not be stubborn to confidently place bets on teams that continuously lost and have the thinking that they would make a come back. This is totally wrong. Maybe you will win at the end by follow this type of betting strategy but how much capital you need to have and how much you need to lose before you can win the bet. Based on the trend concept, if a team is keep losing, the graph for them is dropping, we should bet against them until the graph reach a pit stop. In contrast, if a team turnover from lose to win, we should start chase the team to win until stop stage. How simple is it? Win keeps winning and lose keeps losing.
赌球入面的"趋势论"
千其吾好死禁买输紧波的球队,指望距地会咸鱼翻生一朝帮你挽回损失.感做好蠢.或者你最尾会赢,但系你有无计过之前要输几多同买你手上的资金允吾允许你感输法.基于趋势的概念,如果队波输紧,实力线就成下降的趋势,我地应该买距对家直到距触底反弹.同样道理,如果队波扭砖颓势,我地就要追击队波赢盘直到距输.几禁简单呀?赢开有条路,输开都有条路.
Which team to bet from among of uncountable matches?
When using the trend concept in soccer betting, it is safer if we use it to bet on strong team and only focus on climbing graph. Meanwhile, we put our bet only on strong team when they are in win stage. The reason to choose strong team is they need points to secure their position at the top of the league table. In addition, strong team with higher strength could easily win if victory is a must.
系禁多比赛入面我地应该买边队?
当我地系赌波中运用"趋势论",我地要买正在上升趋势中的强队.原因系强队要抢分来保持位置.而且强队有实力去赢距地想赢的比赛. |
|
[复制链接]
发表于 2013-8-12 12:42
